Valerio Aboian vs Lorenzo Joaquin Rodriguez Head-to-Head Stats, Results & Performance Comparison

• In recent months, Lorenzo Joaquin Rodriguez has been slightly better than Valerio Aboian on second serves, achieving a 44.10% win rate compared to Aboian's 42.03%.
• However, in return games, Valerio Aboian outperforms Rodriguez, winning 46.26% of opponents' second serves, while Rodriguez manages 44.76%.
• First serve returns also favor Aboian with 30.60% over Rodriguez's 29.25%.
• Under pressure, Aboian excels, saving 59.38% of breakpoints compared to Rodriguez's 48.49%.
• Rodriguez has a stronger overall match win record over the past year at 68.92%, versus Aboian's 59.09%. What does this indicate for the upcoming game?
• Both players excel on clay, each with a 65% win rate, their best career surface performances.
• Rodriguez dominates in lower-tier Futures/ITF events, winning 78.00% of matches compared to Aboian's 47.83% win rate in higher-level Challenger/ITF tournaments.
• In direct head-to-head encounters, Aboian holds a decisive advantage, winning all 3 matches and 6 of 7 sets.
• The competitive level of their past opponents is similar, with Rodriguez averaging an opponent rank of 420.03 and Aboian 433.64.
• If the match reaches a deciding set, Rodriguez has an edge, winning 67% of such sets compared to Aboian's 50% success rate.
• Their breakpoint conversion rates are closely matched, with Rodriguez at 36.41% and Aboian at 35.29%.

Editorial Prediction (November 15, 2025, UTC):

The upcoming match between Lorenzo Joaquin Rodriguez and Valerio Aboian presents an intriguing contrast of skills and recent performances. Historically, Aboian has shown superiority in their head-to-head battles, winning all three previous encounters, which gives him a psychological edge going into this match.

While Rodriguez has an impressive match win percentage over the past year, Aboian's ability to save breakpoints and perform well in return games suggests he can handle pressure situations effectively. However, Rodriguez has a slight edge in deciding sets, indicating resilience in critical moments.

Both players perform well on clay, the surface for this match, which could neutralize any advantage in surface preference. Aboian's greater success in higher-level tournaments suggests he might be more prepared for the intensity of this match.

Evaluating all these aspects, Valerio Aboian emerges as the likely favorite to win, based on his proven head-to-head success and composure under pressure.